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Clear air for Gillard, but Abbott will be back to fill it

The semblance of normality that marked the past week in politics is testament to Tony Abbott's ability to create a perpetual state of havoc.

After belting Julia Gillard for having two quiet days during the carbon tax phoney campaign, Abbott took off for Europe for a planned family holiday.

He is due back this week to pick up where he left off on the carbon tax and will head to Perth for the annual Australian American Leadership Dialogue, a diplomatic friendship forum between the two nations.

In the absence of the frenzied, election-campaign atmosphere that Abbott manages to generate, last week more resembled politics as usual early in a new term.

The government was talking about policy and the opposition was chipping away, battling to be noticed.

''Geez, they miss him,'' a Labor luminary said of Abbott's absence.

Granted more clear air than she has had since the election a year ago this month, Gillard put to bed the health and hospital reform deal, kicked along the national broadband network, sealed a forestry deal in Tasmania and began preparing the ground for today's aged-care report by the Productivity Commission.

While Gillard has warned to draw no assumptions between what the commission recommends and what the government will announce eventually as policy, her decision to associate with today's release is pointed.

The government will almost certainly endorse the commission's findings of the need to move towards a user-pays system of residential care, meaning bonds or other forms of payments in return for a bed, but will seek alternatives to selling the family home. Primarily, its policy thrust will be to make residential care a last-resort option.

Conscious that baby boomers approaching retirement have no desire even to move to an aged-care home, the government's aim will be to keep people in their own homes for as long as possible and implement measures to facilitate keeping healthy people productive and socially engaged.

Also this week there will be a response to recommendations to implement a national disability insurance scheme for lifetime care and support for the disabled.

It is a noble concept and widely supported but it is costly and would have to be funded from general revenue. Such a scheme is estimated to cost $6.5 billion a year by 2018, so it is a safe bet that when cabinet deliberates on options today, it won't give the green light for a full-blown scheme starting immediately.

More likely there will be a commitment to establish a series of trial or start-up schemes in a handful of states, including NSW, with the commitment to move towards something more comprehensive in co-operation with the states.

A week of aged-care and disability reforms, neither of which are directly associated with the Rudd era, can only help the beleaguered Gillard as she strives to forge her own agenda.

But it is a reflection of this government's luck that, as soon as it starts developing policy momentum, the global economy starts to tank, casting doubt on Australia's own fragile recovery and the government's program. Gleeful predictions from the opposition yesterday that the government's promise to return the budget surplus in 2012-13 was in doubt were fuelled by the Reserve Bank on Friday, downgrading the economic growth year-average forecast for 2011 from 3.25 per cent to 2 per cent.

But the increasing economic pressures also present challenges for the opposition. With Abbott away, it didn't just provide Gillard with time to get down to brass tacks. The coalition's senior shadow ministers gathered for two sessions earlier last week for an expenditure-review process.

In the year since the election, Abbott has promised the world, all the while eschewing revenue measures.

He will abolish the mining tax and the carbon tax but is still promising tax cuts if elected. He has ignored urgings by senior colleagues to shelve his $3 billion-plus-a-year paid parental leave scheme - to be funded by an increase in business taxes and partly from the budget - and just accept the more affordable scheme Labor has introduced.

Ask anyone from the Coalition about how it plans to pay for everything and the answer is always the same. That's for the shadow treasurer, Joe Hockey, and finance spokesman, Andrew Robb, to figure out.

When Hockey appeared on Lateline on Wednesday and said the opposition was considering axing the Department of Climate Change, it was no thought bubble. The idea had been accepted in principle at a meeting on Monday.

The climate change spokesman, Greg Hunt, was in the middle of a charity walk around his electorate, so the submission was put forward by Hunt's proxy, Simon Birmingham.

The idea is that axing the department and folding it back in with the Environment Department would save money and the Coalition's own direct-action policy could be administered by Treasury and Environment.

A friend of Hockey's said to expect more such announcements from the big fella, especially as the economy tightens. ''It's Joe's responsibility to find the savings,'' he said. ''It's his neck that's on the line here.''

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
He should leave permanently to provide the nation with some blessed relief from his continuous carping and from his incessant attempts to create division and to talk the eonomy down. Knocking everything for opposition sake, regardless of merit, has completely undermined his political integrity and credibility and confirmed his status as a policy-dunce.
Posted by Noel Taylor, 8/08/2011 12:17:48 PM
I agrre with noel taylor, it is pleasant without the no-policy party making its presence felt. Labor needs a good kicking, but Abbot just kicks for the sake of it, not for any real reason
Posted by Janus, 8/08/2011 1:05:18 PM
Totally agree Noel....I am tired of the Opposition negativity on all aspects...they have achieved the "whinging child" level with me...I just switch off...
Posted by frustrated, 8/08/2011 1:05:36 PM
Noel, janus, frustrated... guys cmon.., please nominate 'something' that the Labor Party could call a success over the last 4 yrs ??? And please don't mention the NBN, a company that has more staff than customers. Would you consider pink batts, BER, or the Malaysian swap deal a success ? Maybe it is the pensioners free set-top boxes ie 'entertainment revolution' ??
Posted by Cmon guys, 8/08/2011 1:59:58 PM
As you rise each day you wonder to yourself, what Gillard inspired debacle will we witness today? To start this week off, Julia delivers up her hamfisted attempt to stop the boats. Which would be laughable, except it makes a complete mockery of Australia's right to have secure borders. As for tomorrow, who knows what incompetent debacle Julia will seek to amaze us with. But what we can be sure of is that we will be the ones made to foot the bill for her incompetence.
Posted by JohnD, 8/08/2011 4:37:22 PM
Noel Taylor, Janus, and frustrated: Tony Abbott in Opposition (key word: opposition) is doing what a party leader in Opposition is supposed to do, ie. oppose the government currently in power. No different is this than when the roles are reversed and Labor is the Opposition. Let's not operate under a double standard here, folks.
Posted by Seven of eight, 8/08/2011 5:08:19 PM
Isn't it annoying when a very effective opposition leader does what the job of opposition leader is all about in between elections, that is holding a government to account.

And this Green Labor and former Independent Alliance is a shocker.

And by all the published polls they are trailing well behind now. And aren't they whinging, Tony is to blame, Murdoch press is to blame, anybody but themselves.

But Murdoch backed NSW Labor into a third disasterous term ended recently. Hmmm.

By the way beware of GetUp trolls trying to give Green Labor a boost at rural news online.

Posted by JohnT, 8/08/2011 5:50:07 PM
Hey you labour supporters, must be very lonely in the 20 per cent who support the Gillard / green labour government, knock abbot but history holds the power.
Posted by John Kent , 9/08/2011 6:23:08 AM
The Ides of August are nigh & not yet passed. The big question is "Who will play the role of Brutus?"

Q&A revealed last night that PM Gillard has a personal deal with the Independents so no right thinking ALP politician will do anything to prejudice the full 3 year term of government.

All the Libs have to offer Australia is their belief that they have a God given right to rule, and religious fundamentalism is always a problem.

Well said Noel!! Media noise is not policy for governing.

Posted by Machiavelli, 9/08/2011 6:37:35 AM
Also on Q&A last night former Labor cabinet minister Graham Richardson said that this government has to go, reflecting the written commentary (Fin Review) recently off former Labor senator John Black.

And yes, didn't we all know that Oakshott, Windsor and others have personal signed agreements with Gillard?

Amazing given that these former Independents campaigned as conservatives in electorates where Labor & Green combined votes are quite low.

Actually Machiavelli I get the feeling that the Alliance has not much more time before it falls over.

The Labor brand is too precious.

Posted by JohnT, 9/08/2011 10:52:55 AM
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